Pre-tourney Rankings
North Carolina
Atlantic Coast
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.2#28
Expected Predictive Rating+13.7#23
Pace77.3#21
Improvement-0.2#183

Offense
Total Offense+5.4#47
Improvement+1.9#83

Defense
Total Defense+7.8#17
Improvement-2.0#280
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 9.2% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 87.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round64.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen28.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight11.5% n/a n/a
Final Four4.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.5% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 185   Oakland W 84-61 94%     1 - 0 +18.9 +2.5 +15.7
  Nov 15, 2013 165   Holy Cross W 62-54 92%     2 - 0 +5.3 -12.5 +17.6
  Nov 17, 2013 121   Belmont L 80-83 88%     2 - 1 -2.6 +0.0 -2.5
  Nov 23, 2013 95   Richmond W 82-72 78%     3 - 1 +15.1 +10.4 +4.2
  Nov 24, 2013 1   Louisville W 93-84 19%     4 - 1 +31.4 +21.3 +9.1
  Dec 01, 2013 163   @ UAB L 59-63 83%     4 - 2 -0.9 -9.2 +8.2
  Dec 04, 2013 10   @ Michigan St. W 79-65 29%     5 - 2 +33.1 +9.2 +22.9
  Dec 07, 2013 314   UNC Greensboro W 81-50 98%     6 - 2 +18.2 +3.2 +14.7
  Dec 14, 2013 19   Kentucky W 82-77 57%     7 - 2 +16.5 +8.1 +8.1
  Dec 18, 2013 38   Texas L 83-86 69%     7 - 3 +5.0 +3.9 +1.5
  Dec 21, 2013 129   Davidson W 97-85 OT 89%     8 - 3 +11.8 -2.8 +11.9
  Dec 27, 2013 303   Northern Kentucky W 75-60 98%     9 - 3 +2.9 -10.4 +12.6
  Dec 31, 2013 279   UNC Wilmington W 84-51 97%     10 - 3 +23.6 +9.5 +14.1
  Jan 05, 2014 104   @ Wake Forest L 67-73 73%     10 - 4 0 - 1 +0.8 -7.8 +9.1
  Jan 08, 2014 73   Miami (FL) L 57-63 80%     10 - 5 0 - 2 -1.7 -10.6 +8.7
  Jan 11, 2014 21   @ Syracuse L 45-57 36%     10 - 6 0 - 3 +5.0 -11.9 +15.0
  Jan 18, 2014 130   Boston College W 82-71 89%     11 - 6 1 - 3 +10.8 +1.9 +8.7
  Jan 20, 2014 6   @ Virginia L 61-76 26%     11 - 7 1 - 4 +4.8 +5.8 -2.2
  Jan 26, 2014 54   Clemson W 80-61 74%     12 - 7 2 - 4 +25.6 +26.0 +2.6
  Jan 29, 2014 101   @ Georgia Tech W 78-65 72%     13 - 7 3 - 4 +20.2 +9.1 +10.8
  Feb 01, 2014 66   North Carolina St. W 84-70 78%     14 - 7 4 - 4 +19.0 +2.7 +14.8
  Feb 04, 2014 48   Maryland W 75-63 72%     15 - 7 5 - 4 +19.1 +4.4 +14.2
  Feb 08, 2014 88   @ Notre Dame W 73-62 67%     16 - 7 6 - 4 +19.8 +3.0 +17.1
  Feb 15, 2014 17   Pittsburgh W 75-71 56%     17 - 7 7 - 4 +15.7 +4.4 +11.1
  Feb 17, 2014 43   @ Florida St. W 81-75 50%     18 - 7 8 - 4 +19.3 +14.1 +5.2
  Feb 20, 2014 8   Duke W 74-66 47%     19 - 7 9 - 4 +22.0 +4.4 +17.7
  Feb 22, 2014 104   Wake Forest W 105-72 87%     20 - 7 10 - 4 +34.3 +26.4 +5.7
  Feb 26, 2014 66   @ North Carolina St. W 85-84 OT 60%     21 - 7 11 - 4 +11.6 +10.8 +0.8
  Mar 01, 2014 157   @ Virginia Tech W 60-56 82%     22 - 7 12 - 4 +7.4 +0.8 +7.2
  Mar 03, 2014 88   Notre Dame W 63-61 83%     23 - 7 13 - 4 +5.2 -6.8 +12.1
  Mar 08, 2014 8   @ Duke L 81-93 27%     23 - 8 13 - 5 +7.6 +14.2 -6.8
  Mar 14, 2014 17   Pittsburgh L 75-80 45%     23 - 9 +9.4 +2.6 +7.3
Projected Record 23.0 - 9.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.5 0.6 8.7 40.9 37.3 12.2 0.4 0.0 0.1 100.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.5 0.6 8.7 40.9 37.3 12.2 0.4 0.0 0.1 100.0%